at
11.8–35.6
93%
TSR
4.3#52
Offense
26.4#73
Defense
22.1#25
SOS
11.65#135
PCR
0.730#32
RQI
-0.52#27
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| Wk | Opponent | Rk | Off | Def | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ | 48 | 54 | 43 | L 13-20 | |
| 2 | 44 | 72 | 24 | W 24-23 | ||
| 3 | 130 | 127 | 132 | W 51-15 | ||
| 4 | @ | 110 | 108 | 97 | W 34-17 | |
| 5 | @ | 107 | 98 | 125 | W 30-14 | |
| 6 | 131 | 134 | 117 | W 35-3 | ||
| 8 | @ | 116 | 108 | 107 | W 34-6 | |
| 9 | 117 | 125 | 66 | W 49-10 | ||
| 10 | @ | 123 | 124 | 113 | W 30-14 | |
| 11 | 123 | 118 | 126 | −23.893% | ||
| 12 | 121 | 115 | 123 | −23.093% | ||
| 13 | @ | 125 | 122 | 115 | −17.888% | |
conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add
Resume
−0.52#27 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best win
Delaware+0.05
Worst loss
James Madison−0.74
Outlook
All games
proj. 10.7–1.38+
9+
10+98%
11+76%
Conference USA games
proj. 7.7–0.35+
6+
7+98%
8+76%
chance to win at least N games
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
24%line −0.45
Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.
- Now −0.52
- Projected −0.72
- Win out −0.46
- Top 12 line +0.67
- Top 24 line −0.45
- conference game
- win / lossupcoming
Primary Ratings
TSR
4.3#52
KFord
—
SP+
15.0#22
FPI
4.7#50
FEI
0.37#41
MASSEY
7.55#68
DOKTER
51.25#52
SAGARIN
71.17#63
RQI
-0.522#27
SOS
11.65#135
Offense
Rating
26.40#73
Success
0.15#1
PPA
0.26#3
Rush
0.23#2
Pass
0.33#4
PPO
0.72#37
Drive Q
8.70#52
Defense
Rating
22.10#25
Success
-0.04#34
PPA
-0.09#36
Rush
-0.18#14
Pass
-0.04#67
PPO
-1.07#11
Drive Q
-11.40#36