Kansas State

4-5 (1-5 Big 12) • Week 11 • 2026

@KStateFB on X
TSR
2.2#62
Offense
28.7#58
Defense
26.5#71
SOS
11.24#86
PCR
0.448#93
RQI
-3.62#97
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Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 8.3
 
at
21.8–30.2
 
TCU-8.5
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
1968195W 71-3
210210589W 34-7
310110397W 31-20
4@5342102L 26-31
6222041L 16-35
7545266W 35-24
8@605569L 17-28
9@767578L 24-27
10241095L 28-66
11@436012+8.428%
12252637+7.630%
13@555084+3.839%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−3.62#97 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best winKansas+0.13
Worst lossColorado−0.86

Outlook

All games

proj. 5.0–7.0
6+24%
7+3%

Big 12 games

proj. 2.0–7.0
4+3%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
<1%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now −3.61
  • Projected −4.82
  • Win out −2.79
  • Top 12 line +0.67
  • Top 24 line −0.45
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
2.2#62
KFord
—
SP+
4.5#53
FPI
1.5#65
FEI
0.21#53
MASSEY
7.66#63
DOKTER
48.51#67
SAGARIN
69.41#66
RQI
-3.615#97
SOS
11.24#86

Offense

Rating
28.70#58
Success
-0.01#88
PPA
-0.07#117
Rush
0.00#83
Pass
-0.21#127
PPO
0.36#61
Drive Q
2.90#83

Defense

Rating
26.50#71
Success
-0.02#63
PPA
0.12#125
Rush
0.11#123
Pass
0.14#120
PPO
0.51#124
Drive Q
-7.10#55