at
26.8–18.4
72%
28%
TSR
-4.2#83
Offense
20.1#96
Defense
24.3#45
SOS
11.64#133
PCR
0.615#55
RQI
-1.53#49
Advertisement
Next game
Advertisement
| Wk | Opponent | Rk | Off | Def | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ | 62 | 82 | 15 | L 7-33 | |
| 1 | 66 | 63 | 64 | W 49-7 | ||
| 2 | @ | 95 | 101 | 57 | L 27-29 | |
| 3 | 78 | 88 | 56 | W 31-27 | ||
| 4 | 123 | 118 | 126 | W 23-13 | ||
| 6 | @ | 116 | 108 | 107 | W 27-26 | |
| 7 | 117 | 125 | 66 | W 27-24 | ||
| 9 | @ | 123 | 124 | 113 | W 24-0 | |
| 10 | 131 | 134 | 117 | W 47-14 | ||
| 11 | @ | 121 | 115 | 123 | −8.472% | |
| 12 | 125 | 122 | 115 | −15.385% | ||
| 13 | @ | 107 | 98 | 125 | −3.961% | |
conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add
Resume
−1.53#49 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best win
Georgia Southern+0.07
Worst loss
Ohio−0.92
Outlook
All games
proj. 9.2–2.87+
8+98%
9+82%
10+37%
Conference USA games
proj. 7.2–0.85+
6+98%
7+82%
8+37%
chance to win at least N games
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
<1%line −0.45
Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.
- Now −1.53
- Projected −2.26
- Win out −1.43
- Top 12 line +0.67
- Top 24 line −0.45
- conference game
- win / lossupcoming
Primary Ratings
TSR
-4.2#83
KFord
—
SP+
4.5#54
FPI
-5.0#90
FEI
-0.49#100
MASSEY
7.22#89
DOKTER
40.27#90
SAGARIN
63.63#86
RQI
-1.532#49
SOS
11.64#133
Offense
Rating
20.10#96
Success
0.06#23
PPA
0.11#32
Rush
0.18#4
Pass
-0.04#89
PPO
0.23#78
Drive Q
13.30#31
Defense
Rating
24.30#45
Success
-0.02#55
PPA
0.01#83
Rush
0.10#119
Pass
-0.12#37
PPO
-0.42#51
Drive Q
-4.10#77