Iowa State

4-5 (2-4 Big 12) • Week 11 • 2026

@CycloneFB on X

TSR

3.1#56

Offense

30.6#51

Defense

27.5#84

SOS

10.27#18

PCR

0.583#63

RQI

-2.20#67

Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 8.8

28.7–31.0

44%

56%

Wk	Opponent	Rk	Off	Def	Result	Win%	GQI	Resume
1		31	45	23	W 38-10		1.7	+0.00
2	@	15	29	4	L 13-16		7.9	−0.47
3		129	130	110	W 55-7		2.7	+0.01
4		9	11	21	L 17-31		7.6	−0.53
5		58	31	123	W 45-42		8.8	+0.12
6	@	19	24	19	L 10-24		8.0	−0.50
8	@	25	26	37	L 3-39		8.2	−0.55
9		24	10	95	W 51-49		8.1	+0.31
10	@	32	37	22	L 31-42		8.3	−0.59
11		53	42	102	−2.356%	56%	8.8	+0.13−0.87
12	@	51	50	66	+4.238%	38%	8.7	+0.24−0.76
13		62	58	71	−3.861%	61%	8.6	+0.11−0.89

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−2.20#67 RQIwins above the #12 team

Best win

Oklahoma State+0.31

Worst loss

Baylor−0.59

Outlook

All games

proj. 5.6–6.4

6+53%

7+13%

Big 12 games

proj. 3.6–5.4

4+53%

5+13%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace

Top 12

<1%line +0.67

Top 24

<1%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

Now −2.20
Projected −3.16
Win out −1.71
Top 12 line +0.67
Top 24 line −0.45
conference game
win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR

3.1#56

KFord

—

SP+

-2.3#81

FPI

2.6#59

FEI

0.32#43

MASSEY

7.94#45

DOKTER

51.96#48

SAGARIN

72.81#55

RQI

-2.196#67

SOS

10.27#18

Offense

Rating

30.60#51

Success

0.03#49

PPA

0.14#20

Rush

0.17#13

Pass

0.14#35

PPO

1.27#4

Drive Q

3.80#76

Defense

Rating

27.50#84

Success

0.02#105

PPA

0.08#117

Rush

0.14#128

Pass

-0.00#83

PPO

-0.32#64

Drive Q

-6.70#58