Georgia State

5-4 (2-3 Sun Belt) • Week 11 • 2026

@GeorgiaStateFB on X

TSR

-8.2#96

Offense

21.8#90

Defense

30.0#114

SOS

11.53#120

PCR

0.446#94

RQI

-3.29#91

Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 6.4

26.1–23.7

57%

43%

Wk	Opponent	Rk	Off	Def	Result	Win%	GQI	Resume
1		90	109	66	W 59-10		1.2	+0.00
2	@	116	108	107	W 31-17		5.5	+0.04
3	@	51	50	66	L 30-44		5.7	−0.76
4		134	132	136	W 35-14		2.6	+0.01
5		120	122	92	W 42-10		5.0	+0.02
7	@	48	54	43	L 22-49		5.6	−0.74
8	@	106	106	100	L 32-38		6.1	−0.95
9		110	108	97	L 20-31		5.9	−0.97
10	@	99	101	86	W 39-23		6.7	+0.06
11		78	88	56	+2.443%	43%	6.4	+0.07−0.93
12	@	118	110	115	−2.657%	57%	5.2	+0.04−0.96
13		83	84	83	+1.047%	47%	6.6	+0.06−0.94

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−3.29#91 RQIwins above the #12 team

Best win

App State+0.06

Worst loss

Coastal Carolina−0.97

Outlook

All games

proj. 6.5–5.5

6+87%

7+49%

8+12%

Sun Belt games

proj. 3.5–4.5

4+49%

5+12%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace

Top 12

<1%line +0.67

Top 24

<1%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

Now −3.29
Projected −4.65
Win out −3.12
Top 12 line +0.67
Top 24 line −0.45
conference game
win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR

-8.2#96

KFord

—

SP+

-6.1#96

FPI

-7.5#95

FEI

-0.45#97

MASSEY

6.91#104

DOKTER

37.99#95

SAGARIN

59.60#97

RQI

-3.287#91

SOS

11.53#120

Offense

Rating

21.80#90

Success

-0.01#87

PPA

0.08#43

Rush

0.12#32

Pass

0.14#34

PPO

0.64#42

Drive Q

7.30#58

Defense

Rating

30.00#114

Success

-0.01#74

PPA

-0.00#76

Rush

-0.04#63

Pass

0.03#97

PPO

0.21#111

Drive Q

0.90#102