Georgia Southern

5-4 (4-1 Sun Belt) • Week 11 • 2026

@GSAthletics_FB on X

TSR

-2.8#78

Offense

22.5#88

Defense

25.3#56

SOS

11.37#98

PCR

0.489#81

RQI

-3.00#78

Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 6.4

26.1–23.7

57%

43%

Wk	Opponent	Rk	Off	Def	Result	Win%	GQI	Resume
1		52	77	31	W 31-0		1.4	+0.00
2	@	46	57	28	L 7-22		7.2	−0.71
3	@	83	96	45	L 27-31		7.6	−0.89
4		22	20	41	L 28-42		6.5	−0.69
5	@	110	108	97	W 31-24		5.3	+0.05
6		48	54	43	L 24-27		7.3	−0.85
7	@	120	122	92	W 23-15		4.5	+0.04
9		99	101	86	W 19-3		6.1	+0.03
10		118	110	115	W 49-13		4.6	+0.02
11	@	96	90	114	−2.457%	57%	6.4	+0.07−0.93
12	@	113	112	91	−6.266%	66%	5.2	+0.05−0.95
13		70	67	80	+0.249%	49%	7.7	+0.09−0.91

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−3.00#78 RQIwins above the #12 team

Best win

Coastal Carolina+0.05

Worst loss

Jacksonville State−0.89

Outlook

All games

proj. 6.7–5.3

6+93%

7+61%

8+19%

Sun Belt games

proj. 5.7–2.3

5+93%

6+61%

7+19%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace

Top 12

<1%line +0.67

Top 24

<1%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

Now −3.00
Projected −4.06
Win out −2.78
Top 12 line +0.67
Top 24 line −0.45
conference game
win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR

-2.8#78

KFord

—

SP+

0.8#72

FPI

-1.8#75

FEI

-0.30#83

MASSEY

7.26#82

DOKTER

42.69#81

SAGARIN

65.57#79

RQI

-2.998#78

SOS

11.37#98

Offense

Rating

22.50#88

Success

0.05#33

PPA

0.13#24

Rush

0.01#76

Pass

0.18#26

PPO

0.43#54

Drive Q

14.50#24

Defense

Rating

25.30#56

Success

-0.02#53

PPA

-0.10#32

Rush

-0.09#38

Pass

-0.10#42

PPO

-0.34#62

Drive Q

-6.30#63