Florida State

4-5 (2-4 ACC) • Week 11 • 2026

@FSUFootball on X
TSR
6.4#47
Offense
33.2#38
Defense
26.7#75
SOS
10.13#16
PCR
0.582#64
RQI
-2.31#69
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Next game

Fri, Nov 13GQI 9.0
 
at
26.4–31.1
 
Pittsburgh-4.7
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
1123124113W 34-17
1312449L 24-27
3@3218L 36-50
4485145W 34-7
5576451W 38-7
6@201273L 20-44
7@4128L 35-43
9465728L 24-36
10@818378W 31-24
11@414537+4.737%
12727093−10.376%
13261955+3.041%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−2.31#69 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best winVirginia+0.12
Worst lossClemson−0.83

Outlook

All games

proj. 5.5–6.5
6+52%
7+12%

ACC games

proj. 3.1–4.9
4+28%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
<1%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now −2.31
  • Projected −3.07
  • Win out −1.62
  • Top 12 line +0.67
  • Top 24 line −0.45
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
6.4#47
KFord
—
SP+
5.5#49
FPI
8.0#41
FEI
0.38#40
MASSEY
7.79#52
DOKTER
55.37#44
SAGARIN
74.74#47
RQI
-2.312#69
SOS
10.13#16

Offense

Rating
33.20#38
Success
0.05#35
PPA
0.10#33
Rush
0.08#45
Pass
0.09#52
PPO
0.85#24
Drive Q
17.00#16

Defense

Rating
26.70#75
Success
-0.00#78
PPA
0.04#97
Rush
0.05#99
Pass
0.01#88
PPO
-0.40#55
Drive Q
0.90#101