Florida Atlantic

6-3 (3-2 American Athletic) • Week 11 • 2026

@FAUFootball on X

TSR

-5.5#91

Offense

26.7#71

Defense

32.2#133

SOS

11.41#102

PCR

0.567#65

RQI

-2.04#62

Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 7.1

24.4–32.0

30%

70%

Wk	Opponent	Rk	Off	Def	Result	Win%	GQI	Resume
1	@	26	19	55	L 21-66		5.7	−0.56
2		86	77	108	W 38-30		7.4	+0.06
3		117	125	66	W 16-10		5.1	+0.02
4	@	132	133	134	W 45-17		2.5	+0.01
5		111	66	116	W 66-10		1.2	+0.00
7	@	79	76	89	L 24-56		7.3	−0.88
8		122	111	131	W 51-49		4.2	+0.02
9	@	58	30	127	L 41-48		6.7	−0.79
10		74	63	108	W 60-29		7.1	+0.08
11	@	72	72	84	+7.630%	30%	7.1	+0.15−0.85
12		77	97	30	−0.251%	51%	7.3	+0.07−0.93
13	@	92	95	62	+2.842%	42%	7.5	+0.09−0.91

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−2.04#62 RQIwins above the #12 team

Best win

UTSA+0.08

Worst loss

Army−0.88

Outlook

All games

proj. 7.2–4.8

7+80%

8+36%

9+6%

American Athletic games

proj. 4.2–3.8

4+80%

5+36%

6+6%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace

Top 12

<1%line +0.67

Top 24

<1%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

Now −2.04
Projected −3.50
Win out −1.73
Top 12 line +0.67
Top 24 line −0.45
conference game
win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR

-5.5#91

KFord

—

SP+

-1.3#77

FPI

-7.0#94

FEI

-0.61#107

MASSEY

7.12#97

DOKTER

39.94#91

SAGARIN

64.17#83

RQI

-2.036#62

SOS

11.41#102

Offense

Rating

26.70#71

Success

0.04#39

PPA

0.12#25

Rush

-0.11#120

Pass

0.21#21

PPO

0.60#45

Drive Q

14.90#22

Defense

Rating

32.20#133

Success

-0.01#68

PPA

0.09#120

Rush

-0.00#78

Pass

0.18#128

PPO

0.67#132

Drive Q

6.90#125