Florida

5-4 (3-4 SEC) • Week 11 • 2026

@GatorsFB on X
TSR
12.5#26
Offense
37.7#19
Defense
25.2#55
SOS
9.74#5
PCR
0.758#27
RQI
-0.57#28
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Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 9.5
 
at
29.9–32.5
 
Kentucky-2.6
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
19171133W 66-21
2261869W 52-3
3@384041W 44-39
412853W 52-28
5@212722L 17-45
6181835L 19-38
7@675W 27-24
9N133L 8-27
1023338L 7-23
11@292151+2.643%
12676073−14.083%
13@473875−3.059%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−0.57#28 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best winTexas+0.73
Worst lossOklahoma−0.69

Outlook

All games

proj. 6.8–5.2
6+96%
7+68%
8+21%

SEC games

proj. 4.3–4.7
4+90%
5+35%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
22%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now −0.57
  • Projected −0.91
  • Win out +0.25
  • Top 12 line +0.67
  • Top 24 line −0.45
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
12.5#26
KFord
—
SP+
5.9#47
FPI
12.5#28
FEI
0.55#32
MASSEY
8.26#26
DOKTER
65.24#13
SAGARIN
81.73#26
RQI
-0.571#28
SOS
9.74#5

Offense

Rating
37.70#19
Success
0.02#56
PPA
0.04#58
Rush
-0.07#109
Pass
0.07#56
PPO
1.00#13
Drive Q
16.00#17

Defense

Rating
25.20#55
Success
0.02#114
PPA
-0.03#62
Rush
-0.08#45
Pass
-0.05#65
PPO
0.01#92
Drive Q
-15.00#21