Eastern Michigan

4-6 (3-3 Mid-American) • Week 11 • 2026

@EMUFB on X
TSR
-17.8#128
Offense
10.8#129
Defense
28.6#101
SOS
11.50#117
PCR
0.250#122
RQI
-5.17#121
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Next game

Tue, Nov 17GQI 3.6
 
at
12.7–29.0
 
Western Michigan-16.3
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
1138138119W 28-17
111112159L 21-27
2@647439L 7-35
3@35486L 10-54
4365634W 29-3
5@12612895W 38-14
6@135135128W 25-23
7838582L 14-34
8@9510157L 20-24
10N11412071L 7-35
12@859945+16.314%
13133136120−8.372%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−5.17#121 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best winMassachusetts+0.03
Worst lossSan José State−0.97

Outlook

All games

proj. 4.9–7.1
6+10%

Mid-American games

proj. 3.9–4.1
4+76%
5+10%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
<1%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now −5.17
  • Projected −6.20
  • Win out −5.05
  • Top 12 line +0.67
  • Top 24 line −0.45
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
-17.8#128
KFord
—
SP+
-16.9#128
FPI
-17.9#129
FEI
-0.89#127
MASSEY
6.44#126
DOKTER
27.32#126
SAGARIN
50.65#126
RQI
-5.166#121
SOS
11.50#117

Offense

Rating
10.80#129
Success
-0.04#125
PPA
-0.13#131
Rush
-0.12#121
Pass
-0.06#96
PPO
0.34#63
Drive Q
-7.10#124

Defense

Rating
28.60#101
Success
0.04#124
PPA
0.09#123
Rush
-0.08#44
Pass
0.33#133
PPO
0.11#102
Drive Q
5.90#119