at
30.2–15.1
85%
TSR
-5.7#92
Offense
20.2#95
Defense
25.9#62
SOS
11.07#69
PCR
0.500#78
RQI
-2.79#75
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| Wk | Opponent | Rk | Off | Def | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ | 3 | 2 | 18 | L 10-48 | |
| 2 | 99 | 101 | 86 | L 24-27 | ||
| 3 | @ | 120 | 122 | 92 | W 20-17 | |
| 4 | 72 | 72 | 69 | W 42-9 | ||
| 6 | 122 | 111 | 131 | W 28-12 | ||
| 7 | @ | 111 | 117 | 77 | L 17-30 | |
| 8 | @ | 55 | 53 | 75 | L 34-41 | |
| 9 | 109 | 104 | 110 | W 17-9 | ||
| 10 | 77 | 97 | 30 | W 20-17 | ||
| 11 | @ | 136 | 131 | 137 | −15.185% | |
| 12 | @ | 79 | 76 | 89 | +5.834% | |
| 13 | 91 | 71 | 133 | −2.858% | ||
conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add
Resume
−2.79#75 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best win
South Florida+0.07
Worst loss
App State−0.97
Outlook
All games
proj. 6.8–5.26+96%
7+64%
8+17%
American Athletic games
proj. 4.8–3.24+96%
5+64%
6+17%
chance to win at least N games
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
<1%line −0.45
Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.
- Now −2.79
- Projected −3.84
- Win out −2.61
- Top 12 line +0.67
- Top 24 line −0.45
- conference game
- win / lossupcoming
Primary Ratings
TSR
-5.7#92
KFord
—
SP+
-2.8#86
FPI
-3.6#83
FEI
-0.39#92
MASSEY
7.23#88
DOKTER
39.09#93
SAGARIN
60.85#95
RQI
-2.794#75
SOS
11.07#69
Offense
Rating
20.20#95
Success
-0.02#99
PPA
-0.02#97
Rush
0.01#79
Pass
-0.09#104
PPO
-0.12#106
Drive Q
-6.30#122
Defense
Rating
25.90#62
Success
-0.03#47
PPA
-0.06#49
Rush
-0.03#66
Pass
-0.10#44
PPO
-0.39#56
Drive Q
-4.80#73