Duke

7-2 (4-2 ACC) • Week 11 • 2026

@DukeFootball on X
TSR
10.9#34
Offense
32.7#41
Defense
21.8#20
SOS
11.30#94
PCR
0.719#35
RQI
-0.88#38
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Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 8.9
 
at
22.7–39.1
 
Miami-16.4
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
110110397W 17-3
2@394435W 31-27
39892122W 35-7
410897105W 62-7
6@8880104L 25-28
7424345L 20-24
8@576451W 19-16
9818378W 47-2
10@727093W 41-3
11@4128+16.414%
12465728−7.469%
13@131624+9.027%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−0.88#38 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best winIllinois+0.34
Worst lossGeorgia Tech−0.90

Outlook

All games

proj. 8.1–3.9
7+
8+81%
9+27%
10+3%

ACC games

proj. 5.1–3.9
4+
5+81%
6+27%
7+3%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace
Top 12
1%line +0.67
Top 24
22%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now −0.88
  • Projected −1.30
  • Win out +0.61
  • Top 12 line +0.67
  • Top 24 line −0.45
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
10.9#34
KFord
—
SP+
13.0#32
FPI
12.5#29
FEI
0.40#38
MASSEY
8.15#35
DOKTER
56.38#40
SAGARIN
80.59#33
RQI
-0.878#38
SOS
11.30#94

Offense

Rating
32.70#41
Success
-0.01#95
PPA
0.09#40
Rush
0.07#48
Pass
0.09#53
PPO
0.32#66
Drive Q
0.90#93

Defense

Rating
21.80#20
Success
-0.07#13
PPA
-0.26#1
Rush
-0.31#3
Pass
-0.22#17
PPO
-1.05#14
Drive Q
-12.10#31