at
23.6–29.1
35%
65%
TSR
-12.6#115
Offense
23.7#81
Defense
36.3#138
SOS
11.30#92
PCR
0.300#117
RQI
-4.79#116
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| Wk | Opponent | Rk | Off | Def | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100 | 116 | 49 | W 35-13 | ||
| 2 | 30 | 16 | 76 | W 58-24 | ||
| 3 | 19 | 24 | 19 | L 23-41 | ||
| 4 | @ | 74 | 63 | 108 | L 45-59 | |
| 5 | 65 | 47 | 105 | L 26-56 | ||
| 7 | @ | 61 | 39 | 120 | L 27-66 | |
| 8 | 97 | 93 | 117 | W 56-49 | ||
| 9 | @ | 87 | 100 | 39 | L 14-31 | |
| 10 | 36 | 22 | 63 | L 38-64 | ||
| 11 | @ | 102 | 105 | 89 | +5.535% | |
| 12 | @ | 71 | 78 | 48 | +15.615% | |
conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add
Resume
−4.79#116 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best win
San Diego State+0.03
Worst loss
Utah State−0.90
Outlook
All games
proj. 3.5–7.55+5%
Pac-12 games
proj. 1.5–5.53+5%
chance to win at least N games
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
<1%line −0.45
Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.
- Now −4.79
- Projected −6.07
- Win out −4.57
- Top 12 line +0.67
- Top 24 line −0.45
- conference game
- win / lossupcoming
Primary Ratings
TSR
-12.6#115
KFord
—
SP+
-11.0#111
FPI
-13.1#117
FEI
-0.75#117
MASSEY
6.73#114
DOKTER
32.92#117
SAGARIN
56.02#110
RQI
-4.788#116
SOS
11.30#92
Offense
Rating
23.70#81
Success
0.06#26
PPA
0.18#12
Rush
0.17#11
Pass
0.17#29
PPO
1.14#8
Drive Q
10.80#40
Defense
Rating
36.30#138
Success
0.15#138
PPA
0.33#138
Rush
0.31#138
Pass
0.46#137
PPO
0.88#136
Drive Q
12.10#134