Colorado

3-6 (1-5 Big 12) • Week 11 • 2026

@CUBuffsFootball on X

TSR

-1.8#76

Offense

25.1#75

Defense

26.9#78

SOS

10.43#26

PCR

0.455#88

RQI

-3.45#94

Next game

Fri, Nov 13GQI 6.8

34.6–22.2

80%

20%

Wk	Opponent	Rk	Off	Def	Result	Win%	GQI	Resume
1	@	88	80	104	W 14-13		7.3	+0.10
2		22	12	74	W 52-21		2.3	+0.01
3	@	30	28	32	L 7-41		6.9	−0.58
4	@	32	37	22	L 13-23		7.0	−0.59
5		16	13	47	L 7-29		6.6	−0.64
7		9	11	21	L 24-27		6.1	−0.53
8	@	24	10	95	L 24-57		6.8	−0.54
9		62	58	71	W 27-24		7.8	+0.11
10	@	60	55	69	L 10-20		7.8	−0.79
11		22	20	41	+12.420%	20%	6.8	+0.31−0.69
12	@	53	42	102	+8.628%	28%	7.7	+0.23−0.77
13		51	50	66	+3.241%	41%	7.6	+0.14−0.86

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−3.45#94 RQIwins above the #12 team

Best win

Kansas State+0.11

Worst loss

Arizona State−0.79

Outlook

All games

proj. 3.9–8.1

6+2%

Big 12 games

proj. 1.9–7.1

4+2%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace

Top 12

<1%line +0.67

Top 24

<1%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

Now −3.45
Projected −4.88
Win out −2.77
Top 12 line +0.67
Top 24 line −0.45
conference game
win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR

-1.8#76

KFord

—

SP+

-5.2#94

FPI

-1.7#74

FEI

-0.08#71

MASSEY

7.59#65

DOKTER

45.53#73

SAGARIN

67.70#74

RQI

-3.452#94

SOS

10.43#26

Offense

Rating

25.10#75

Success

0.02#55

PPA

-0.02#94

Rush

-0.17#131

Pass

0.14#36

PPO

-0.87#132

Drive Q

0.20#97

Defense

Rating

26.90#78

Success

-0.03#46

PPA

-0.02#70

Rush

-0.14#21

Pass

0.16#126

PPO

-0.51#43

Drive Q

1.40#105