at
21.5–23.8
44%
56%
TSR
-11.7#110
Offense
16.4#108
Defense
28.2#98
SOS
11.55#123
PCR
0.249#125
RQI
-5.37#126
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| Wk | Opponent | Rk | Off | Def | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ | 58 | 31 | 123 | L 24-31 | |
| 2 | 102 | 108 | 82 | W 45-7 | ||
| 3 | @ | 107 | 98 | 125 | L 14-22 | |
| 4 | 51 | 73 | 24 | L 17-34 | ||
| 5 | 78 | 88 | 56 | L 24-31 | ||
| 6 | @ | 118 | 110 | 115 | W 27-21 | |
| 7 | 99 | 101 | 86 | L 32-35 | ||
| 9 | @ | 96 | 90 | 114 | W 31-20 | |
| 10 | 120 | 122 | 92 | L 8-21 | ||
| 11 | 106 | 106 | 100 | −2.356% | ||
| 12 | @ | 83 | 84 | 83 | +10.424% | |
| 13 | @ | 48 | 54 | 43 | +19.810% | |
conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add
Resume
−5.37#126 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best win
Georgia State+0.07
Worst loss
Old Dominion−0.98
Outlook
All games
proj. 3.9–8.16+1%
Sun Belt games
proj. 2.9–5.14+18%
5+1%
chance to win at least N games
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
<1%line −0.45
Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.
- Now −5.36
- Projected −7.08
- Win out −4.97
- Top 12 line +0.67
- Top 24 line −0.45
- conference game
- win / lossupcoming
Primary Ratings
TSR
-11.7#110
KFord
—
SP+
-8.2#100
FPI
-12.1#112
FEI
-0.48#99
MASSEY
6.65#118
DOKTER
34.56#107
SAGARIN
55.48#114
RQI
-5.365#126
SOS
11.55#123
Offense
Rating
16.40#108
Success
-0.03#109
PPA
-0.08#119
Rush
-0.24#136
Pass
0.11#42
PPO
-0.05#100
Drive Q
9.10#49
Defense
Rating
28.20#98
Success
0.02#112
PPA
0.03#95
Rush
0.07#105
Pass
0.03#96
PPO
-0.54#37
Drive Q
-3.00#80