Central Michigan

4-5 (2-3 Mid-American) • Week 11 • 2026

@CMU_Football on X

TSR

-12.5#114

Offense

14.0#120

Defense

26.5#72

SOS

11.06#68

PCR

0.397#101

RQI

-3.72#100

Next game

Wed, Nov 11GQI 2.2

9.6–27.4

88%

Wk	Opponent	Rk	Off	Def	Result	Win%	GQI	Resume
1	@	45	59	13	L 7-38		4.0	−0.69
2		49	109	9	W 13-10		1.6	+0.00
3		100	116	49	W 24-10		5.8	+0.03
4	@	4	1	28	L 3-52		3.7	−0.25
5		135	135	128	W 41-17		2.8	+0.01
6	@	95	101	57	L 14-31		5.5	−0.92
7		85	99	45	L 14-21		5.2	−0.94
8		104	107	86	L 27-28		5.8	−0.97
10	N	128	129	101	W 35-7		4.3	+0.02
11		138	138	119	−17.888%	88%	2.2	+0.00−1.00
12	@	119	126	81	+1.646%	46%	5.6	+0.04−0.96
13	@	130	127	132	−5.064%	64%	3.5	+0.02−0.98

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−3.72#100 RQIwins above the #12 team

Best win

Wyoming+0.03

Worst loss

Miami (OH)−0.97

Outlook

All games

proj. 6.0–6.0

6+74%

7+26%

Mid-American games

proj. 4.0–4.0

4+74%

5+26%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace

Top 12

<1%line +0.67

Top 24

<1%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

Now −3.72
Projected −4.68
Win out −3.66
Top 12 line +0.67
Top 24 line −0.45
conference game
win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR

-12.5#114

KFord

—

SP+

-13.2#118

FPI

-12.2#113

FEI

-0.84#121

MASSEY

6.70#116

DOKTER

33.84#113

SAGARIN

57.23#104

RQI

-3.718#100

SOS

11.06#68

Offense

Rating

14.00#120

Success

-0.01#92

PPA

0.02#73

Rush

0.12#33

Pass

-0.08#100

PPO

0.26#74

Drive Q

-15.00#135

Defense

Rating

26.50#72

Success

0.01#99

PPA

-0.04#61

Rush

0.01#84

Pass

-0.09#46

PPO

-0.41#54

Drive Q

0.60#100