California

3-6 (2-4 ACC) • Week 11 • 2026

@CalFootball on X

TSR

-6.7#94

Offense

21.7#91

Defense

28.4#99

SOS

10.85#46

PCR

0.384#102

RQI

-4.06#106

Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 6.3

19.4–32.0

19%

81%

Wk	Opponent	Rk	Off	Def	Result	Win%	GQI	Resume
1		14	23	7	L 24-45		4.8	−0.62
2	@	69	68	69	W 21-18		6.5	+0.18
3		119	118	111	W 49-7		1.2	+0.00
4		46	57	28	L 10-24		5.9	−0.83
5	@	89	86	95	L 31-39		7.2	−0.90
6		49	50	59	W 25-20		6.1	+0.15
7		13	16	24	L 7-41		4.8	−0.60
8	@	31	24	49	L 20-59		5.4	−0.58
9	@	72	70	93	L 10-31		6.7	−0.85
11	@	57	64	51	+12.619%	19%	6.3	+0.21−0.79
12		98	92	122	−5.465%	65%	6.6	+0.03−0.97
13		41	45	37	+11.821%	21%	5.7	+0.20−0.80

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−4.06#106 RQIwins above the #12 team

Best win

Syracuse+0.18

Worst loss

UNLV−0.90

Outlook

All games

proj. 4.1–7.9

6+3%

ACC games

proj. 3.1–5.9

4+25%

5+3%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace

Top 12

<1%line +0.67

Top 24

<1%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

Now −4.06
Projected −5.57
Win out −3.62
Top 12 line +0.67
Top 24 line −0.45
conference game
win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR

-6.7#94

KFord

—

SP+

-11.4#113

FPI

-7.0#93

FEI

-0.41#95

MASSEY

7.26#83

DOKTER

39.40#92

SAGARIN

62.35#90

RQI

-4.062#106

SOS

10.85#46

Offense

Rating

21.70#91

Success

-0.05#127

PPA

-0.17#134

Rush

-0.15#127

Pass

-0.16#118

PPO

-0.35#118

Drive Q

3.40#81

Defense

Rating

28.40#99

Success

-0.00#79

PPA

0.06#111

Rush

0.13#126

Pass

0.05#105

PPO

0.14#106

Drive Q

-10.00#42