at
24.7–36.5
21%
79%
TSR
10.6#36
Offense
36.6#22
Defense
26.0#63
SOS
11.10#75
PCR
0.828#19
RQI
0.34#15
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| Wk | Opponent | Rk | Off | Def | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ | 9 | 9 | 30 | L 27-34 | |
| 2 | 55 | 53 | 75 | W 38-20 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | W 38-24 | ||
| 4 | @ | 85 | 99 | 45 | W 32-7 | |
| 5 | 87 | 100 | 39 | W 37-18 | ||
| 6 | @ | 71 | 78 | 48 | W 38-31 | |
| 8 | @ | 102 | 105 | 89 | W 31-10 | |
| 9 | 61 | 39 | 120 | W 46-45 | ||
| 10 | @ | 115 | 81 | 138 | W 64-38 | |
| 11 | 65 | 47 | 105 | −11.879% | ||
| 12 | 97 | 93 | 117 | −22.693% | ||
conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add
Resume
+0.34#15 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best win
Fresno State+0.16
Worst loss
Oregon−0.37
Outlook
All games
proj. 9.7–1.38+
9+98%
10+73%
Pac-12 games
proj. 6.7–0.35+
6+98%
7+73%
chance to win at least N games
Top 12
8%line +0.67
Top 24
77%line −0.45
Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.
- Now +0.34
- Projected +0.19
- Win out +0.48
- Top 12 line +0.67
- Top 24 line −0.45
- conference game
- win / lossupcoming
Primary Ratings
TSR
10.6#36
KFord
—
SP+
13.8#26
FPI
11.4#33
FEI
0.56#31
MASSEY
8.26#27
DOKTER
58.53#35
SAGARIN
78.16#39
RQI
0.335#15
SOS
11.10#75
Offense
Rating
36.60#22
Success
0.08#14
PPA
0.29#1
Rush
0.18#5
Pass
0.43#2
PPO
1.36#3
Drive Q
10.60#42
Defense
Rating
26.00#63
Success
-0.02#58
PPA
0.05#104
Rush
0.08#108
Pass
-0.04#68
PPO
-0.48#46
Drive Q
7.60#126