Arizona State

5-4 (3-3 Big 12) • Week 11 • 2026

@ASUFootball on X

TSR

2.8#60

Offense

29.2#55

Defense

26.4#69

SOS

10.71#42

PCR

0.607#61

RQI

-1.89#56

Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 8.7

25.8–30.4

38%

62%

Wk	Opponent	Rk	Off	Def	Result	Win%	GQI	Resume
1		102	85	98	W 70-7		1.3	+0.00
2	@	26	31	17	L 20-48		8.1	−0.56
3	N	54	52	66	W 24-17		8.7	+0.17
5		32	37	22	L 19-55		8.2	−0.74
6		108	119	59	W 30-12		4.7	+0.03
7	@	16	13	47	L 25-53		7.9	−0.48
8		62	58	71	W 28-17		8.7	+0.11
9	@	19	24	19	L 20-27		8.0	−0.50
10		76	75	78	W 20-10		7.8	+0.07
11	@	51	50	66	+4.638%	38%	8.7	+0.24−0.76
12		24	10	95	+7.430%	30%	8.1	+0.31−0.69
13	@	25	26	37	+13.019%	19%	8.1	+0.45−0.55

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−1.89#56 RQIwins above the #12 team

Best win

Kansas+0.17

Worst loss

Baylor−0.74

Outlook

All games

proj. 5.9–6.1

6+65%

7+20%

8+2%

Big 12 games

proj. 3.9–5.1

4+65%

5+20%

6+2%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace

Top 12

<1%line +0.67

Top 24

<1%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

Now −1.89
Projected −3.03
Win out −0.90
Top 12 line +0.67
Top 24 line −0.45
conference game
win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR

2.8#60

KFord

—

SP+

1.9#65

FPI

1.6#64

FEI

0.09#59

MASSEY

7.91#48

DOKTER

48.22#68

SAGARIN

72.55#56

RQI

-1.891#56

SOS

10.71#42

Offense

Rating

29.20#55

Success

0.02#54

PPA

-0.03#99

Rush

-0.02#91

Pass

-0.00#79

PPO

0.30#69

Drive Q

1.10#90

Defense

Rating

26.40#69

Success

-0.02#49

PPA

-0.15#19

Rush

-0.24#6

Pass

-0.04#71

PPO

-0.47#47

Drive Q

-4.40#75