Arizona

7-2 (4-2 Big 12) • Week 11 • 2026

@ArizonaFBall on X
TSR
12.8#25
Offense
36.3#26
Defense
23.5#37
SOS
10.94#61
PCR
0.783#23
RQI
-0.24#23
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Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 9.4
 
at
32.6–28.9
 
Utah-3.7
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
191130W 35-7
2@192419L 17-28
3134132136W 42-17
4@10210589W 34-24
55342102W 34-7
6@5831123W 52-31
8555084W 39-3
9@161347L 26-34
10436012W 29-28
1191121+3.740%
12@625871−7.670%
13605569−13.081%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−0.24#23 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best winWest Virginia+0.21
Worst lossBYU−0.50

Outlook

All games

proj. 8.9–3.1
7+
8+97%
9+72%
10+23%

Big 12 games

proj. 5.9–3.1
4+
5+97%
6+72%
7+23%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace
Top 12
6%line +0.67
Top 24
50%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now −0.24
  • Projected −0.54
  • Win out +0.55
  • Top 12 line +0.67
  • Top 24 line −0.45
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
12.8#25
KFord
—
SP+
15.4#21
FPI
12.7#26
FEI
0.69#21
MASSEY
8.40#20
DOKTER
60.84#29
SAGARIN
81.42#29
RQI
-0.240#23
SOS
10.94#61

Offense

Rating
36.30#26
Success
0.01#68
PPA
0.15#18
Rush
0.06#52
Pass
0.21#23
PPO
0.40#58
Drive Q
-7.50#126

Defense

Rating
23.50#37
Success
-0.03#45
PPA
-0.11#30
Rush
-0.02#68
Pass
-0.25#10
PPO
-0.75#27
Drive Q
3.80#113