Alabama

7-2 (5-2 SEC) • Week 11 • 2026

@AlabamaFTBL on X
TSR
24.8#3
Offense
46.6#2
Defense
21.7#18
SOS
9.69#2
PCR
0.989#1
RQI
1.60#2
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Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 6.6
 
at
41.0–20.6
 
Alabama-20.3
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
1929562W 48-10
2@292151W 45-17
3473875W 50-36
4181835W 49-18
5@443364W 56-23
6133L 17-20
7@111410L 10-26
8263117W 31-20
10@7613W 31-13
11@676073−20.491%
1227952−53.6>99%
13384041−19.089%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

+1.60#2 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best winLSU+0.69
Worst lossTennessee−0.38

Outlook

All games

proj. 9.8–2.2
7+
8+
9+99%
10+81%

SEC games

proj. 6.8–2.2
5+
6+99%
7+81%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace
Top 12
98%line +0.67
Top 24
>99%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now +1.60
  • Projected +1.80
  • Win out +2.00
  • Top 12 line +0.67
  • Top 24 line −0.45
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
24.8#3
KFord
—
SP+
22.7#8
FPI
26.1#3
FEI
1.21#5
MASSEY
8.99#4
DOKTER
77.25#3
SAGARIN
93.68#2
RQI
1.596#2
SOS
9.69#2

Offense

Rating
46.60#2
Success
0.06#24
PPA
0.18#10
Rush
-0.01#85
Pass
0.41#3
PPO
1.45#2
Drive Q
8.70#51

Defense

Rating
21.70#18
Success
-0.06#23
PPA
-0.21#6
Rush
-0.17#15
Pass
-0.19#22
PPO
-0.87#24
Drive Q
-21.30#6