Air Force

7-2 (3-2 Mountain West) • Week 11 • 2026

@AF_Football on X
TSR
-3.1#80
Offense
22.0#89
Defense
25.1#54
SOS
11.60#129
PCR
0.623#53
RQI
-1.48#47
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Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 5.3
 
at
15.8–27.6
 
Air Force-11.7
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
1859466W 34-0
2628215L 32-38
4@10211359W 36-33
58677108W 14-9
6@134132136W 28-7
7898695W 41-31
8@10011649L 14-28
99386103W 35-26
10@797689W 24-21
1111112159−11.879%
12137136128−23.994%
13@455913+13.418%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−1.48#47 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best winArmy+0.12
Worst lossWyoming−0.94

Outlook

All games

proj. 8.9–3.1
7+
8+99%
9+78%
10+13%

Mountain West games

proj. 4.9–3.1
4+99%
5+78%
6+13%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
<1%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now −1.48
  • Projected −2.23
  • Win out −1.14
  • Top 12 line +0.67
  • Top 24 line −0.45
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
-3.1#80
KFord
—
SP+
1.1#70
FPI
-3.2#80
FEI
-0.18#78
MASSEY
7.47#74
DOKTER
42.64#82
SAGARIN
64.31#82
RQI
-1.476#47
SOS
11.60#129

Offense

Rating
22.00#89
Success
0.07#18
PPA
0.03#66
Rush
0.05#59
Pass
-0.29#134
PPO
0.99#16
Drive Q
4.40#73

Defense

Rating
25.10#54
Success
-0.01#73
PPA
-0.02#69
Rush
-0.05#57
Pass
0.14#123
PPO
0.60#128
Drive Q
-6.60#59